SHE SAID: Climate change debunkers need reality check

SHE SAID: Climate change debunkers need reality check

To oppose Bill C-311, a climate change legislation passed in the House of Commons on May 5, you must first reject the concept of climate change... so let's start there, shall we?


Can you find scientists to debunk the current modern reality that is climate change?


Sure you can!


You can also find scientists who'll tell you the government is injecting nano-tech mind-control chips into your blood stream through immunizations, others who will show you 'proof' the U.N. is run by alien cyborgs, and still others who will attest that O.J. really was innocent.


That doesn't mean you should believe them.


As a colleague of mine said yesterday, “The only people who still don't believe in climate change simply don't want to believe in it.”


Okay, fair enough, I can understand that.


It's a notion that threatens our current lifestyles, leaves us afraid for our kids, demands sacrifice on all our parts ...hardly comfortable territory for any of us, especially those of us who live the indulgent lifestyles of conspicuous consumption accorded us in the northern hemisphere.


Most of us are willing to recycle, maybe car pool a bit, but the kind of dramatic, wholesale revolution in the way we live that current climate change predictions demand ... that's just too much for most of us to contemplate.


So we don't.


That's just on a personal level, not even touching on the global economic realities. Many think countries like the U.S. have the most to lose in adopting stringent carbon reduction targets, since they have the most weath and the greatest consumption-based economies ... but any Canadian economist will tell you we're just as threatened, economically, as our nothern neighbours... if not more so.


We're already struggling to compete with a country boasting a similar resource base, but an exponentially greater population base to extract and market those resources.We're not competing for G-8 supremacy – we're competing to make sure we get to stay in the G-8 at all, and a bill like C-311 could be the straw that breaks the camel's back.


Another good reason to listen to the scientists who say climate change is nonsense.


Or is it?


First, take a minute to look out your window and compare what you see with what you saw 20 years ago. Has it changed? Next, watch the weather network – or any news network for that matter – has anything changed in terms of global weather extremes, in your memory? I'm betting it has.


But you and I aren't experts, so we can't take the evidence of our own senses; our anecdotal observations; as the whole story.


Let's now go back, shall we, to that pool of scientific experts and see if we can find one or two who believe in the reality of climate change.


Wow!


Turns out, there's more than just a couple of them! Turns out, in fact, they're very much in the majority!


Who knew?


Well, the United Nations knows, for starters ...as the United Nations Secretary General said in June 2009, “it (climate change) is the major, overriding environmental issue of our time, and the single greatest challenge facing environmental regulators. It is a growing crisis with economic, health and safety, food production, security, and other dimensions.”


Now, I can quote hundreds more just like this, but what would be the point? In a war of expert opinions, the ammunition is endless and we could find ourselves buried under a hail of pithy opinions for the rest of our lives, with no end in sight.


Which is exactly what climate-change detractors want.


Suffice it to say, for every member of the scientific community who debunks climate change, you can find two or more who support it.


So why are we still debating what should have been a moot point a decade ago?


Simple – indecision allows us the luxury of inaction.Those uncomfortable lifestyle changes, that discomfitting fear we talked about earlier – it all goes on the back burner while we wait for the controversy to be resolved. We don't have to sacrifice, we don't have to risk economic blow-back ... all the yucky stuff just goes away.


For now.


The downside of that approach, of course, can be found in the tremendous health, economic, security and enivronmental consequences that the bulk of the scientific community assures us are looming should we continue our current practices unchecked.


That's not good leadership. That's not good governance.


Bill C-311 is both.


What do you think?
 

Comments

Climate change and the economy

People who think that measures to reduce CO2 emissions will "devastate" our (or anyone's) economy are, I think, taking a rather short-sighted view. I strongly suspect that it is more likely to be human-caused climate change that devastates the economy. Shall we wait and see whether our failure to limit greenhouse gas emissions, our failure to slow human-caused climate change and deforestation, will result in economic and social devastation? Only time will tell for sure -- we humans are notoriously bad at predicting effects of our own actions -- especially the unintended effects. But I think there is a very good chance that the effects of climate change (yes, caused by us) will have an adverse effect on agriculture in what are currently the planet's most productive areas; and will cause extreme weather events that will have enormous economic and social costs. The next 20 years may be very interesting.

 Taking up your last word,

 Taking up your last word, Sara, let's not forget that 'May you live in interesting times' is an old Chinese curse. Let's not forget that this is a family newspaper!

All kidding aside, I think you'll likely be proven correct in your prognostications--unfortunately. And of course, nobody's cursed us--we're doing it to ourselves.--ed.

Climate Change

I am retired and consequently have a lot of time to read about climate change and it appears to me that the science is conclusive that human induced climate change is occurring. A book on climate change that I have just read looks at the problem from a physiological perspective and why many people can't accept the human causation argument. I highly recommend this book for anybody interested in the subject of climate change. The title is: Requiem for a species by Clive Hamilton. Enjoy. Keith

Is It AGW or Not

I really enjoyed reading your column, Kyra, its arguments are well thought out, but I realized that you never once mentioned whether you were arguing climate change or AGW (anthropogenic global warming). Here lies the heart of the problem, and why I feel the public and politicians are confused. If you are arguing the fact of climate change you are correct in stating that scientists are in a consensus. Climate changes this is a fact! It has changed for millennia before mankind entered the scene and it will continue to change until the sun goes nova and burns off the atmosphere. However, what scientists are not in agreement of, is how the climate is being changed. This is why Bill C-311 is not only faulty but based on hysterical scaremongering. On the science of man-made climate change the issue has not been settled. Of the 2500 IPCC scientists usually cited as supporting the UN report only 52 were actually willing to be signatories on its SPM (Summary for Policymakers), this works out to be only about 2% of the UN very own experts. Not quite the consensus usually exalted. UN IPCC Vice-Chair Professor Yuri Izrael said, “There is no proven link between human activity and global warming, and I think the panic over global warming is totally unjustified. There is no serious threat to the climate”. And UN IPCC Scientist Dr. Kiminori Itoh said, “Warming fears are the worst scientific scandal in history. When people come to know what the truth is, they will feel deceived by science and scientists.” Prominent IPCC scientists have even questioned the peer review process of the UN. Dr. Vincent Gray, member of the IPCC Expert Reviewers Panel stated, “Resistance to all efforts to try and discuss or rectify these problems has convinced me that normal scientific procedures are not only rejected by the IPCC, but that this practice is endemic, and was part of the organisation from the very beginning. I therefore consider that the IPCC is fundamentally corrupt.” And Dr. Martin Manning, Vice-Chair IPCC Working Group 1 on the Science of Climate Change, said, “The process used to produce the Summary for Policymakers (SPM) is far from ideal and may be distorting the real messages from the available science. Some government delegates influencing the SPM do not understand the methodologies being used and misinterpret or contradict the lead authors.” You stated that, “to oppose Bill C-311… you must first reject the concept of climate change…”, but I cannot stress just how wrong that statement is. Bill C-311 is about devastating an entire economy on the idea of man-made climate change, which to this date has never been proven, and even the experts of the organization claiming it is happening are stating that it is not. This bill is not good governance, it is a rash decision based on scaremongering, introduced by a political party that has never even governed, never mind showed leadership.

Your view of climate change

Your view of climate change denialists is very simplistic. Yes, there are plenty of people who believe that the climate isn't changing at all. That's only a small portion of the people who object to the stricter measures put on carbon emissions. Many people who get put into the category of "denialist" acknowledge that the climate is changing. The contention is merely how much of it, or if any, is man made. Considering you went from talking of denialists, to talk of reduced emissions, it isn't clear if you understand such a distinction. I personally believe, with a topic as politicized as climate change, we're rarely going to catch any glimpses into reality on the subject. Some things are pretty obvious, however. Cutting down on carbon emissions in developed countries will always be a good thing, for polution if nothing else. The big issue about this, in my opinion, is how it will effect people, particularly those in developing countries. Will the stricter measures on emissions hinder progress of developing countries? If so, I think that's a great cost to consider.